Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 6, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forest Vixen 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Well Actually 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Foxy Diva 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Trilling Song 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sweet Bombolini 3.50 3.4 7-1
8 8 Rees 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Geneva 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Hard Rock Warrior 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Tudor Peak 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Orbaline 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pino in a Purse 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sea Anna Dream 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 D’s Soul 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bossalina 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Nice Company 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 What a Beaut 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cefalo 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Silent Ghost 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sparkle Sammy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Green Gables 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Billyjane 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 I’ll Take the Gold 20.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Dance Rhythms 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Gabby Squared 2.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Princess Halime 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Fedalia 6.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Danger 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tapiture Way 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Theskyisthelimit 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shelly the Rocket 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shishka 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Baby Mo 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Stunning Rivers 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Ben’s Sunny Island 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 My Girl Hooter 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Mia’s Authority 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Road Map 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silent Diva 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Canadiansweetheart 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sametimenextyear 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Panic Switch 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sparkling Silver 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Queen’s Image 20.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 My Girl Gabby 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Popthechampagne Ro 3.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Sunshine Girl 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Diosa Catrina 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flat Out Angel 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ashlee’s Ring 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jungle Tigress 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Celtic Revival 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Taquanyah 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 First Round Pick 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Dixie Morning 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 American Gamble 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Henry’s Gamble 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Silver Bullet Lady 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Swinging Mandy 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gimbala 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 My Final Trick 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Take It Easy 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Silent Guroo 4.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Freret 8.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Mi Tormenta 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Onezy’s Dream 2.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wake Up Maggie 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Five Days in May 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Asha Ironborn 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Royal City Reign 20.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Someone Else 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Touch of Rouge 20.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Gormley Girl 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Midnight Meadow 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Speak English 12.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Airy Fairy 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Ivy’s Star 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.