Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Quick to Accuse 0 0-1
4 4 Atlanta’s Acuna 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mr. Marlin 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Chulligan 1.20 1.6 3-1
1 1 Quick to Accuse 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dromoland 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Flashy Alex 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sharp Sensation 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sinful Dancer 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Martinez 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Brennan’s War 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Steerage 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Heroneandonly 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Cumberland Blues 2.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Eight and Sand 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 A Lister 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Kingstown 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Risk Profile 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Doctor Love 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Daufuskie Island 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 R Boy Cheekum 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Quickflash 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Cousin Andrew 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sundaeswithsandy 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Dream of a Day 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ginnsu Warrior 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Eagle in Love 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sebaray 12.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Timbuktu 3.50 7.4 14-1
11 11 Milano 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Bail Out 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fast Gordon 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fatima’s Blessing 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fieldstone 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lord Flintshire 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Maseta 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Eddie the Great 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gooch Go Bragh 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Central Pride 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sir John 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 He’sgottashortfuse 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Bert Bert Bert 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Midnight Express 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Kiyomori 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Magic Truck 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Xy Speed 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Not Phar Now 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Duress 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Shiraz 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Oldies But Goodies 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Long Term Thinking 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Striking Speed 30.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Quick Return 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Double Shot 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gandy Dancing 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rejected Again 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Principled Stand (GB) 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rally Squirrel 0 0-1
2 2 Royal Spirit 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rally Squirrel 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Digital Software 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Reckless Spirit 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Voliero 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Hard Rye Guy 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 War Strategy 8.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Topic Changer 12.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Sell Something 30.00 11 21-1
5 5 Mach One 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hollywoodhellraisr 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Charger 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Cagney 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shinsun 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ria’s Angel 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Relate 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baby Yoda 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Fire Sword 4.50 2 4-1
1A 6 Bourbon Calling 1.80 3.8 7-1
3 3 Market Alert 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 King Kumbalay 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Synthesis 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classic Lynne 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Fast Corey 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Union Dolly 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Quick Power Nap 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Proper Grammar 50.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 I’m Buzzy 15.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Lemon Taffy 50.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Arabellas Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Diva Ready 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Aunt Virginia 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Romanosa (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.