Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alia Max 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Costanarmandaleg 2.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sheza Hunk 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 True Red Slew 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Tricky Mom 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 My Little Guera 10.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Executive Council 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Talty 10.00 10 19-1
7 7 Thursday Morning 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Charged Temp 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Bella 6.00 4 8-1
10 10 Miss Miracle Girl 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Julio Choice 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Time to Sleep 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 My Avani 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Boston Lucille 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Violet Shadows 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 St Maria 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Devastating Beauty 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Diatonic 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cajun Aces 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Boss Soss 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Habanero Tom 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Make Your Destiny 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mr. Butch Womble 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Anders Smile 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Cajun Crazy 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Not On Herb 4.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Beaudean 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Half Crazy 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Country Cat Jake 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Kajun Karma 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Emerald Forest 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mexican Wonder Boy 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 Slither 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Simply Wicked 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Scrappy Artie 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Michael’s Bad Boy 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 California Street 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Corrente de Ouro 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Castleberry 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Captains Cove 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Smarty Ridge 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Barney’s Passion 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Long Warrior 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 West Texas Bob 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 White Squall 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kats Pick 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Conga Boy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Midnight Spirit 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Freightrainfreeman 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Quana Dude 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Custom Kat 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Friendofthecourt 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 B W P Special 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Semi Charmed Life 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Hostile Afleet 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Flashburn 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bold Minister 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Boy Gus 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Half Ours N Stormy 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bind Faith 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Diablo Cat 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Jamaican Me 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 My Man Louie 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Charli Michael 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tripper John 12.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Grand Prado 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 R T’s Wildcat 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 My Amigo Charlie 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Reece’s Priority 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gimmeasound 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Magnolia S.) – Magnolia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Free Like a Girl 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Winning Romance 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Snowball 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 She’s Gone d’Wild 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Eve’s Delight 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Noneya 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Tecate Time 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 A G’s Charlotte 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Tincandance 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dreaming of Neany 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Miss Jana 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bulletsrevenge 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Isle Call U Later 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Genes Feather 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Willie the Man 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Smooth Custom 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Chelsea’s Glory 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Exotic Gentleman 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Prayforthewin 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Double Trap 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Omg Ur Kidding Me 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Saberman 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.