Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adios Papa Chico | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Save | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Occasion | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mauna Kea Bound | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gerard | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winooski | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortheloveofart | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Khozan One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Echo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Astroturf | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mayor Remo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Indy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Chaos | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thorn | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birdman Richie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fishing for Fun | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Poetic Code | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Follow Q T R | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Voice of Now | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freddy’s Music | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not a Dance | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sidney’s Bid | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mud Bug | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hoax | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Express | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashford Girl | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kindness Is Free | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angie From Kulm | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blah Blah World | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Darlin | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking Stardom | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Patience Worth | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dulce Ambicion | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twinning N Winning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncaptured Dreams | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Uproar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Pride | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vandalia | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Kimberly S | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Nugget | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Nannette No | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bionda Suprise | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Violent Zap | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play That Tone | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truly | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astonishing Anabel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ucrania | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karen’s Honor | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slender Slipper | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Red Hot | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Winner | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Bourbon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heals the Soul | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Small Reason | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barone Cesco | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Partner’s Hope | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah Cat | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Putman | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Picture | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geoscience | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bouncer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rolling On | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes On the King | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Slash | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D Coldest | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Murgo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Name Dude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Honor D Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stuck in Malibu | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Evie Does It | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Action Rose | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cecilia’s Wings | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fatima Sunshine | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lipari | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Gurl | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Spun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queen Valentina | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.