Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dixie Cannon 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Surreal Fantasy 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Wicked Mercury 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 Please Marry Me 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mo Fire 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mongolian Mission 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Hot Choice 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Cool Front 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Crystal Coast 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kulthum 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brummagem 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Old Alliance 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Parachute 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Feeling Woozy 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 McMagic 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Longworth 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Urban Bandit 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sneaking Suspicion 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Wildhunch 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Helluva Lady 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Golden Effect 10.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Torre Branca 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Shaolin 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Bella Bettina 15.00 6.8 13-1
16 16 Magnificent Pearl 15.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Lucky Lorraine 12.00 9 17-1
5 5 Bourbon Gypsy 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Neon City 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Little Nutter 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Killy Start 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Strong Embrace 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 A Case of You 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blame the Irish 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amazon Queen 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Heartburn 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Toss a Coin 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fishers 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 My Flicker 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Boss Angel 10.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 She’sarollingstone 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Mail Call 30.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Loving Cup 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Fashionatta 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Startwithabang 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Red Queen 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Along the Way 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Shemademelucky 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Honor Your Mother 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Caged Pixie 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Imagine the Mojo 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Dial Emma Reilly 15.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 My Super Sally 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Landon Jack 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Post Time 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Prince of Jericho 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 B West 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Here’s Liam 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mo Eh Hennessy 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Master Oogway 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Indybound 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Termsofengagement 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Reeled In 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Barzini 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jackson Road 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Mission Man 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nomo Ron 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Maythehorsebwithu 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Askin for a Baskin 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Jettin Out 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hard Fought 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Yes Sir Robert 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Herd Immunity 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Remmia 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nymph 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bourbon Wildcat 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Who Knows What 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Swift Action 10.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Fuhgeddaboudit 8.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 La Samana Laura 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Utterly Enchanting 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Fortes 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Awesome Jazz 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Can I Get an Amen 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mercury Head 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Carolina Sun 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backstreet Gal 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bad Temper 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Violet Jessop 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 She’s a Tripp 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Salagadoola 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Heart Light 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Harper’s Do 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Bless and Honor 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.