Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heartbreak Kid 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Glendale 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Horace Mann 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 My Partner Glen 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 The Slap 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Giacometti 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Alexander Helios 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Corazon de Lucia 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Stonks 15.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Fast Fall 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Valiancer 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Post Facto 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
El Diablo Rojo 0 0-1
2 2 All Eyes West 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Established 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Perfect Cut 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Manitowish 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Heartfullofstars 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 El Diablo Rojo 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Va Va Voom 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Super Renee 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Twentyseventrouts 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Roses and Candy 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cause She’s a Lady 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Flame McGoon 2.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Big Shamrock 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bowl of Cherries 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Ardis 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Wild Arch 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Roses R Blue 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Orissa 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Liberty Forever 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Talker 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Oubabe 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Worse Read Sanchez 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mobou 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bud Knight 30.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Warrens Candy Man 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rocky Gibraltar 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Westphal 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Granada Flavor 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Oculus 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Mongolian Kingdom 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Economical 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Me Macho 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Maynard 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fifty Cent Dollars 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Summer 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Issa Court 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Big Beauty 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Current Mood 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Laurel Canyon 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Essential Business 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sunshine Babe 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Smiling Molly 10.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 D’s Lovely Sophia 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Queen Molotov 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Queen of Pompeii 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lilly Babe 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Special 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Quick Finish 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Leyas Candy 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 I Know Cash Flow 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Prayer of Jabez 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Seattle Breakout 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Americaredwhiteblu 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Fort Moultrie 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Barsabas 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Hometown Hero 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Spirit Maker 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Stotland 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Bender 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Weegee 4.00 4 8-1
6 5 Kingmeister 30.00 4.1 8-1
12 10 One Fast Bro 12.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Today Matters 0.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Brit’s Wit 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.