Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tickle Her Toe 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tiz Bizness 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Totally in Charge 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Honeys Diamond 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Creemore 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Ashwicken 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Suspicious 8.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Call Me Brooke 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Celtic Revival 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chrome’s Angel 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 A Gal for T J 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ashlee’s Ring 20.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Diosa Catrina 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Flat Out Angel 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 One Last Fling 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ferda 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Seattle Trust 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Alberta Be Mine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coltons Dream 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rapid Reload 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Twice as Smart 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Prince Sussex 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Drop a Caribou 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Spigetinmtzaballs 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Bullet Speed 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Unspeakable 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lets Run Two 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Know How (GB) 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Khozzy Valintine 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sneaky Rebel 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Loaded Vixen 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Carpe Horseshoe 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Baby Fade 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Northern Passage 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Cliff’s Head 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Nicole’s Song 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wood Be Wild 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dissectologist 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Hidden Honor 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Love the Game 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Galway Waters 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Galvaston 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Souper Rush 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Where’s Neal 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Big Warden 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Silent Risk 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Dragon’s Key 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stubborn Streak 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sensing Holiday 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Forest Buzz 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Unxpected Tiger 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Happy Fella 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rare Discovery 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 One More Ring 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Magic Gamble 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Gungi 10.00 10 19-1
7 7 Kinzhal 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Commander Joe 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maakwa 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Four Aces High 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Souper Classy 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sail At Sunrise 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Priceless Will 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 The Great Oz 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Big Executive 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Romantic Gamble 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Doctor Wu 15.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Passthepuddinpleaz 10.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Battle of Yorktown 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Racing in the Rain 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Justin’s Way 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Exceed 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Point to the Stars 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Regal Intent 10.00 4 8-1
12 12 Adelaide Court 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Prince of Thieves 20.00 6.2 12-1
15 15 Hallanvaara 8.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Grand Alliance 15.00 8.6 16-1
16 16 Rookie Radar 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 I Am Resilient 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Confident N Elite 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.