Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 8, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Love Tank 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lexi’s Spirit 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Ein Gedi (IRE) 2.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Maria From Miami 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Will Be Famous 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Toquether (IRE) 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Every Time 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Bella Michelle 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Nightsaber (GB) 15.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Lady Empire 20.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Tap It Up 30.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Lemon Bomb 30.00 11.8 22-1
14 14 Opus Forty Two 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Extessa 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Funny Joke 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dot’s Dollar 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Inevtabl Conection 6.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Moving Pictures 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Swift Tap 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Never Early 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 In Sky We Trust 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Double Shot 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 O’Trouble 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Vintage Hollywood 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Durkin’s Call 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tapizearance 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Somebody 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Smokie Eyes 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Berning Honor 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 In Good Trouble 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Sweet Blush 10.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Mim 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Map 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Sweetest Princess 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sarah’s Dialed In 12.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Bernt Again 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Joey the Fish 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Luna Loca 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Here We Go Again 20.00 5.9 11-1
13 13 Hypnocurrency 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Vosburgh S.) – Vosburgh S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elite Power 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Eastern Bay 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Southern District 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Drafted 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Jalen Journey 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Matron S.) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Danse Macabre 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Personal Pursuit 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Redifined 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Dontlookbackatall 4.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Sweetlou’sgotaces 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 How Lovely 8.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Little Linzee 8.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Fleetfooted 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Sweet Harmony 10.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 American Apple 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Atomic Girl 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Determined Jester 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Apple Picker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shipsational 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Life Changer 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Steinbeck 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Catchyasoon 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Judge Davis 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Like Goddess 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Gufo 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Soldier Rising (GB) 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Adhamo (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rockemperor (IRE) 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bye Bye Melvin 8.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Astronaut 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cash in a Flash 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Win for Gold 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Fromanothamutha 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Maxim Moment 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Skylander 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Slow Decision 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Storied Fella 30.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Baltasar 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hang Tight 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Russiarussiarussia 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 She’s a Mia 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 New Ginya 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 La Victoria 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Just Ok Is Not Ok 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Tapple Cider 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Saratoga Chrome 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Lady of Thoroton 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Forty Smooth 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Gringotts 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Caramocha 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fist Full of Dice 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Know It All Audrey 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dats a Superstar 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mouly 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Oak Loves a Fight 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Bourbon Diversion 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jocosity 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Unbridled’s Reign 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Lemon Red 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Mucho Mama Mia 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Honor Star 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Guidance 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lacey Underall 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 So Are You 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.