Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 8, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lifeasweknowit 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mor Big Lee 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Real Action 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Fishin With Pete 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Little Star Target 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 St Pierre 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Clement’s Note 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Carlos’ Blast 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spheroid 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Heliochrome 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Bourbon St Tappin 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Now You Rules 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Max Pandowdy 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Macho Mark 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Falcon Heavy 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Carries Man 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Oak Hill Solution 10.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Cyber Gun 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fitzy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Suzy Doll’s Ready 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Where’s Aunt J 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Onecallthatsall 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 R T’s Gem 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 New Destiny 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Country Lady 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Starship Jambalaya 4.00 8 15-1
5 5 Mor Kisses 5.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Decorated Lady 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Holy Emperor 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Aligned Interest 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Pa Ma’s Amos 8.00 4 8-1
2 1 Getcha 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Boating Party 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Mr B Quiet 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 5 Oak Hill Lg 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Rithmicallea 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Flashburn 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Bassett 12.00 7 13-1
1A 12 Lemon Kick 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 October Surprise 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfect Prank 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Runtoday 1.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 Tiz the Big One 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Brave Magic 5.00 4 7-1
5 5 Gallant Buck 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mustafa 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 F J’s Flaco 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Citizen West 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Macho Rocco 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Shippingport 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fortuity 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rumohr Reigns 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Forty Three 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Wise Guy 10.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Blue Cheese 15.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Saber Run 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Military Bearing 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Madame Jane 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Half Page 4.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Won Day 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Goodnight Gracie 20.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Loneshilohspecial 4.00 2.9 6-1
12 12 Malformed 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Younmehoneybunny 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Not So Sweet 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Satisfy U 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 April Mist 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sunshine Star 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Charlie’s Peak 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Cup S.) – Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Highland Creek 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Who Took the Money 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Speaktomeoflove 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Grand Luwegee 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Langs Day 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Relentless Dancer 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Brian’s Iron Mike 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Black Sword 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Vodka Gimlet 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Schnell 15.00 5 9-1
11 11 Mageez 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Justa Buster 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lookin Good So Far 0 0-1
2 2 Crimson Storm 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vegas Guy 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Bayou Beaux 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gettinhot’nhere 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Marvelous Red 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Texas Gold Rush 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 J C’s in Town 4.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Homeland Messa 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Lookin Good So Far 5.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 My Little Junior 6.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Pat Me Down 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Bodee Bodee 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.