Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 8, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lookintogeteven 0 0-1
2 2 Very Scary 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lookintogeteven 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Unwhirled 5.00 4 8-1
12 11 Baby’s Dream 5.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Violet Storm 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Tiz My Princess 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I Give Up 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Margot’s Girl 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Weemissgrammy 6.00 7.2 14-1
13 12 Classy 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Clearance 30.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Big Seven 30.00 9.9 19-1
10 98 Velvet 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holden the Lute 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Breakfast Ride 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mastering 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 American Admiral 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Impossible Task 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Apprehend 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Phenom 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Real Fire 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Cuban Crisis (GB) 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Laura Mars (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Automax (IRE) 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Izzy Em 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Takemebythehand (GB) 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Dream a Dream 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Side by Side 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 First Point 30.00 9.1 17-1
13 12 Bella Volpe 8.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Awsome Donna 30.00 10.8 20-1
10 98 Bossy Pegasus 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blessed Touch 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Always At Ease 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Riley G 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 California Rocket 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Dancing Mo 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Bourbon Glaze 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Royale Flare 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Carson Jen 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bellamore 0 0-1
Going to Vegas 0 0-1
3 3 Going to Vegas 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Family Way 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Neige Blanche (FR) 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Fluffy Socks 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Scarabea 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Queen Ofthe Temple 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Bellamore 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chandelier S.) – Chandelier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Home Cooking 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Justique 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Huntingcoco 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 And Tell Me Nolies 3.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Uncontrollable 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Ice Dancing 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Naughty Lottie 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Jeff 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Who’s Candy 12.00 1.2 2-1
13 13 My Summer Dream 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Forgiving Spirit 8.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Moraweth 6.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Detroit City 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Missed Call 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Multi Platinum 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lucky Boss 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Ginsburned 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 D D S Express 15.00 9 17-1
2 2 Laughing Legacy 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Street Art 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (American Pharoah S.) – American Pharoah S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cave Rock 0.80 1 2-1
8 8 Hejazi 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 National Treasure 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Gandolfini 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Odonata 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Man Child 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Skinner 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Macnamara 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gypsy King 0 0-1
6 6 Gypsy King 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rip City 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Vantastic 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Neptune’s Storm 8.00 2 4-1
10 10 Commander (FR) 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Zoffarelli (IRE) 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Kentucky Pharoah 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sigiloso 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Chasin Munny 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Midnight Jostar 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bang for Your Buck 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 First Premio 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bally’s Charm 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Red King 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Hawk of War 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Fly the Sky 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 One Fast Bro 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Perfect Flight 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Crosby Beach 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.