Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 8, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Alexandrova 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mischief Lily 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Boudica 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Film 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ruby’s Reign 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Anita Margarita 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Key Stroke 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lido Key 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Love to Run 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 English Biscuit 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ann of Cleves 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Arriviste 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Erasmo’s Girl 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Lady Maeve (IRE) 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Astonish 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Woodbine Cares S.) – Woodbine Cares S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Helluva Holiday 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fearless Angel 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 No Kay Never (IRE) 1.20 4.4 8-1
4 4 Witch Hazel 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Adora 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Firing Bullets 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Love My Cheryl 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Muskoka Summer 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sonet’s Name 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Jaimie’s Warrior 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Makes Sense to Me 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Menagerie 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Silent Creek 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Tara Luna 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Dreams and Schemes 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Shes Loaded 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Gabrielle 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blonde Dynamo 20.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Ticker Tape Home 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Mythical Storm 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Trick and Treat 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Tachyon Speed 3.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Spirit Belle 10.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Queen Gypsy 6.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 All My Tomorrows 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Sharp Aza Rainbow 20.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Crimson Nights 20.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Liam’s Awesome 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hard Edge 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hell N Wild 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Owen’s Tour Guide 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 No Mo Lady 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Hai Bobbi 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Afleet Katherine 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Gloriannia 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Verdejo 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Nearctic S.) – Nearctic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bound for Nowhere 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Silent Poet 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Into the Sunrise 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Noble Emotion 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Roaring Forties 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Wedgewood 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cazadero 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Fauci 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Durham Cup S.) – Durham Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 War Bomber (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Artie’s Storm 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Frosted Over 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Like the King 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Hombre 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Special Forces 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Who’s the Star 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Irwin (IRE) 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Riptide Rock 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (E. P. Taylor S.) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flirting Bridge (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Henrietta Topham 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lemista (IRE) 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Adventuring 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Moira 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Rougir (FR) 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Munnyfor Ro 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Fev Rover (IRE) 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mylady (GER) 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ontario Racing S.) – Ontario Racing S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ninetyfour Expos 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Keen Flatter 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Chiseler 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ever a Rebel 2.50 4 7-1
8 8 Bushido 2.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Impetuous Molly 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Housebuilder 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Field Hockey 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Firing Bullets 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Adora 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Confident N Elite 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zafeather 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Jmr Pure Sensation 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Runninforcover 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Glorious Tribute 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 More Than Happy 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Same Again Doc 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Baytown Elvis 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ahmas 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Perfect Play 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.