Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 9, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Chase 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Dr. Kraft 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lt. Mitchell 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Starquist 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Central Love 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Storm the Empire 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Aviano 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Inflation Adjusted 10.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Arrio 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Box N Score 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mr. Kringle 8.00 3 6-1
12 12 Dante’s Fire 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Sonic Speed 4.00 5 9-1
1A 13 K P All Systems Go 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Sidd Finch 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Mighty Meister 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Goldini 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 A Huge Checkpoint 50.00 11 21-1
1 6 Al’s Prince 12.00 SCRATCH
1X 14 Masked Marauder 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Beldame S.) – Beldame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nest 0.20 1 2-1
5 5 Travel Column 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 First to Act 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 The Grass Is Blue 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Hybrid Eclipse 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Matt Doyle 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Southern Flag 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Watasha 10.00 4 7-1
6 6 Tiger Town Boy 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Psychic Income 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Unlimitedpotential 0.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Carpe Capella 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 15 Street Vendor 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Greg’s Honor 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Media Sensation 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Fazaro 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Ridewiththedevil 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Fierce Debate 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Islandman 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 On Palm Sunday 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Bali Riddim 15.00 7 13-1
12 12 Bargaining Power 4.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Mad Magic 8.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Druid 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hooky Player 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wick Loves a Fight 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cash Bail 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Futurity S.) – Futurity S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dunedin 0 0-1
5 5 Power Attack 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gaslight Dancer 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Nagirroc 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Inflation Nation (IRE) 3.00 4 7-1
1 1 Dunedin 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Determined Jester 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Vacation Dance 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Bourbon Therapy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Caramocha 0 0-1
Gringotts 0 0-1
3 3 Caramocha 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 New York Banker 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Know It All Audrey 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mia Bea Star 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Sweet Mystery 1.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Melissa’s Smile 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Gringotts 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Knickerbocker S.) – Knickerbocker S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Public Sector (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Pixelate 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Safe Conduct 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 L’Imperator (FR) 4.50 6 11-1
3 3 Dynadrive 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Field Pass 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) 12.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 King Cause 10.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Pao Alto (FR) 4.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Eons 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Mo Damorninggrouch 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Laughter 6.00 2 4-1
12 12 Cricket West 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Robyn and Eli 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bunty Windermere 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Eli Dancer 4.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Rent Control 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Tonight We Love 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Cerretta 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Treat Street 10.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Seems to Whisper 10.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Shesadancingqueen 20.00 12.1 23-1
2 2 Gracefully Wild 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Madame Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Laochi 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 True Martini 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.