Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guana Cay | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Emily | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judy’s Way | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teller to Sing | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kimberley Dream | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Tourista | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Saturdays | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notion | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giroovin | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backside Buzz | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit Show | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spoiler | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Strategy | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Canavall | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Coast | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bengals Go | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sisaway Now | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carbonite | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olliemeister | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eyes of Glory | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yono | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wesleyan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right of Rush | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sarah Harper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chandana | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Center Aisle | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Recoded | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Like Water | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Current Climate | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlypersuasion | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Aztec Nights | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Up to Something | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendlypersuasion | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Closed Caption | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outofnothingatall | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Music | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Need Some Money | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Jewel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Private Creed | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Stash | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Therapy | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Castelmola | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kbcya Later | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mounsieur Coco | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Numero Seis | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghent | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revere Note | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Reigns (IRE) | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fashion King | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Raise Cain | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Perform | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | What a Blast | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raise Cain | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Villa | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monba Quake | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashion King | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Day | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aerator | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McEnroe | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cagliostro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Castle & Key Bourbon S.) – Castle & Key Bourbon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Andthewinneris | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deer District | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Really Good | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckoning Force | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rarified Flair | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boppy O | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panama (GB) | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gigante | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Dream Rye’d | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accident | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B Minor | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hendrickson | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Oscar Award | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | General Jim | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zaici | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mendel’s Secret | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Juddmonte Spinster S.) – Juddmonte Spinster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army Wife | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Letruska | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malathaat | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Played Hard | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Army Wife | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess of Cairo | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mud Pie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reigning Spirit | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cibolian | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Me By | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Offlee Naughty | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Militarist | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Onenightstandards | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Celerity | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Blanket of Roses | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full Charge | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Always Above | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Slo Mo | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Markitoff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chantry Flats | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | February Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Western River | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.