Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Only Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Far Heart | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlys Wild Angel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Government Girl | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Page Eleven | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Dream | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charly’s Choo Choo | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moving in Stereo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Regalada | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Schnuer Will | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abidale | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | God Still Loves Me | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frame This | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smarty Pants Sandy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Field Letters | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Memphis Mafia | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love On Fire | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cartwheel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congrats Answer | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blunt Force | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Please | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Murricane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Creek Louie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go for the Kill | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Warrior | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birchmount Rd | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Recall | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exxtop | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Running Violence | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Furmanator | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Classy Gizmo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nickys Notion | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imagism | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snappy Ride | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santafe Express | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Ryan | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Furmanator | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edies Way | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shane’s Jewel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B B Bad | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Bridge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Romp | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distractandattack | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Friends Beer | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | World Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Viexa | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brody Slam | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Jumper | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Two Step | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connoisseur | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Blanca | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Hermano | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Celtic Treasure | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deckology | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Risque Rebel | 1.60 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indoctrinate | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | E T’s Super Star | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Beautiful Wall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dramatized | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Victor’s Dynasty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Pride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Strum and Pluck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Drone Swarm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sound the Charge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hizaam | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gushing Oil | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Off the Meds | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Coup | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runningforhome | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sophos | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Fury | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Angry Man | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noon Time Gem | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tactical Plan | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weekend in Court | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Expensive Cut | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abuelo Nuno | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Fourteen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lease | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screen Saver | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Einstein | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holdtheflight | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My First Love | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maarty’s Dilemma | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Backstretchbeauty | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Frankie | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Flirt | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Wild Woman | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Neblina | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Love | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Touring Maryanne | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Saucy Six | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pearls and Heels | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Psyche | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.