Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cocktail Princess 5.00 1 2-1
10 9 Fun Money 1.80 1.9 4-1
9 8 Cholly 2.50 2.7 5-1
11 10 Thank You Kera 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Along Came Joann 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Big Gift 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Smiling Amy 20.00 5.6 10-1
8 7 Speaking Spanglish 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Great Gift 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Diamonds Danzing 10.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Golden Microphone 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brittle and Yoo 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mercy Mercy 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Midnight Jamboree 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 A New Peace 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Flat Out Joy 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vivando 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Leisurewear (IRE) 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Maeve of Connaught (IRE) 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dear Beau (IRE) 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Albayaader (IRE) 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Brocade 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Ruthless But Kind 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Rebel Girl 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Checkered Empire 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Colonel Bowman 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lookin for Revenge 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Of Good Report 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Outright 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Jacks Outlaw 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 New Eagle 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Perfecto Amor 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Asaro 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 See Through It 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Blameless 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Cosmo 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Grit and Curiosity 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ted 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Head for Business 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Uncle Wilbur 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Little Demon 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 98 Jamming Eddy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fort Bragg 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Riverside 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Practical Move 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Rich Gold 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mixto 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mucino 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Nullarbor 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Fleet Feet 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Capacity 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Square Cat 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 In Vronsky Style 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Moose Mitchell 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lil Richards Bello 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mischievous Path 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Single Me Out 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Heaven’s Music 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 So It Would Seem 1.80 1 2-1
6 5 Drizella 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Warren’s Queen Bee 4.00 2 4-1
9 8 Sally Stanford 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 She Loves Karaoke 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Cal 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Chao Mar 20.00 4 8-1
12 11 Royal Blend 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Magical Lady 15.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Secret Maneuver 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Sunny Lane 30.00 5.5 10-1
1 98 Dreamer Girl 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thorne House 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Lil Nas 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Cowboy Charlie 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Brix 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Exceed Speed Limit 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Circleofchampions 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Big Hand 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Grazen Sun 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Valiancer 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Reincarnate 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Game Time 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Argentina Cries (IRE) 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fast Fall 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Post Facto 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Bluegrass Ryder 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Zio Jo 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Bold Bali 15.00 10 19-1
1 1 Buffett 50.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.