Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leaping for Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ladyness | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raven’s Quest | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fine Aleigh | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gherkin | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Concert Hall | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aprils Luck | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fearless Mae | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boardwalk Fries | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Race N Return | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scamper Along | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soupster | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Notion Interruptus | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tak E Lady | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lambeau Lady | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charlotte Webley | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Love On the Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Love’s Misery | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Humor Sense | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Fancee Grace C | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Traviesa | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Touisset | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Violent Affair | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Doyle | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Lady James | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icestorming | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Chi Town Heat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ginettes On Fire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baby Sox | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bletchley Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | R Swirvin Girvin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sonny and Max | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marquet Malice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simms | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mentalist | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sam in Style | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Akingisalwaysking | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grunder’s Call | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inappropriate | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Out of Towner | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smarthumor | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Rod | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over and Thunder | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gambling Man | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Azure Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Board Certified | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honor the Fleet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Other Things Equal | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greyzer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Roma | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exchequer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Respect for All | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiny Tin | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vicarage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Senate Chamber | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McLaren Vale | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The King Cheek | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Ride | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windcracker | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack a Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Uncle Irish | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tall Girl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kristy | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Bills | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strut | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One of the Ones | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Water Fight | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pallotta Sisters | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quantum Light | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Paloma | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vagabond Prayer | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Crush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Calisue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hopeful Cure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pettigo Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inedatequila | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emma and I | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Tiz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magicgirl | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond a Million | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thea’s Theme | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reina La Kelsy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party Monster | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.