Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 12, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whiskey Gent 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ide Like Hawaii 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Policy Limit 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Oso Negro 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Monitor Mills 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Flit N Flot Time 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Moro Cool 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Out Making Treble 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 War Reporter 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Witch’s Vow 1.60 6.1 12-1
12 12 Shot On Windy Hill 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 South Al Sparky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chasing Shadows 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Texas Red Bel 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Strummer 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Onamargaritaday 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Summerjustbet Her 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sienna Breeze 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Dreaming of Neany 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Texas Bluebonnet 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Zoey’s Hippie 3.00 1 2-1
4 3 T D Z Hi Court 4.50 1.1 2-1
1A 10 Etbauer’s Secret 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Thundertakesdalead 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Petey 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Count On Rain 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Viking Legacy 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Wood River 6.00 7 13-1
9 8 Saberman 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 9 Miss Priority 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Downtowner 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gentrified 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Freedomfi 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Flashing Angelbaby 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tensas Toddy 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Fifteen Love Back 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Wish Upon a Star 3.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 King Marvin 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Justa Swinging 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Quality 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hesacalendarboy 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Verdunville 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Ted Striker 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Royal de Be 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Valentoro 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Kissmeister 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Royal D D 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tensas Virginia 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gracesspecialtouch 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Angela’s Celerity 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sassy Sue’s Band 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Light as a Whisper 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Aphrodites Revenge 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 My Sweet Sophia 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Who Dat Grey 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Citizens Reward 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Anotherinthefire 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sudden Impulse 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beyond the Hype 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Anime Day 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Glory to Me 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Last Destiny 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Overly Sweet 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Copper Belle 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Cajun Aces 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Arctic Guitar 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Baby Maybe 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tapit’s Lady 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 High Cruise 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Bibleman 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Post Close 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Alterana 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Dried Pepper 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Witt’s Taquito 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Greeley Went West 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dream Halo 15.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Knockalittlelouder 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Uncle Frank 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Jazzy Justin 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 D Two 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cece Wave 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ask Dale 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Calling Stone 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Starship Nola 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Little Z 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Glorious Gears 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Custom Design 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Gypsyroselee 5.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Shewasn’teasy 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Unified Love 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Gotteminabind 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.