Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 13, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gracefully Wild 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Free Chickens 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Big Bean Christine 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Madame Rose 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 In Traffic 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lordhearmyprayer 30.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Arduously 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Tekila 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vallarand 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Funwhileitlasted 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tactical Range 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Sweet Wife 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Stormi Cat Lady 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sealithic 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 London Gold 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Be Up 5.00 1 2-1
1 6 Mia At Midnight 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Cafe Fleur (FR) 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Lookin to Fly 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Princess Pinky 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Kemba 10.00 5.1 10-1
1A 10 Basilia 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Entwine (IRE) 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Voice of Spring 15.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 More Mango 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charger 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Convertible Freeze 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 8 Al’s Prince 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Spectatorless 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Will E Sutton 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 2 Umbria 10.00 4.6 9-1
1A 7 Forever Wicked 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 9 R Boy Cheekum 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hometown 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Three Zero 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Best Defense 3.50 5.6 11-1
1 3 Chiringo 2.50 5.8 11-1
2 1 Listentothemusic 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Don’t Let Me Down 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Iron Man Jimmy 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Bristol Channel 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Marty’s Magic 10.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Cara’s Prince 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Golden Bird Forest 30.00 11.3 21-1
13 13 Won an Award 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 14 Clubhouse 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Tasterfor the King 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Iguazu (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Freudian 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Predetermined 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Merger of Equals 4.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Sweeter 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 R Girl Faith 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 My Delicious 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Game Theory 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Keen Dancer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Queen of Lies 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tough Street 1.40 3.8 7-1
6 6 Power and Glory 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Uptown Express 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kay Tee Gal 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Flattering Gal 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Lemme Get It 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Unkoalafied 10.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Bern Rosey Bern 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Bizzy Izzy 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Front Line Dancer 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Call Me Harry 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Klickitat 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Straw Into Gold 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Catch That Party 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Saratoga Flash 8.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Therisastormbrewin 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Six Percent 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Barleewon 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Troubleshooter 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Prince of Pharoahs 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Bourbon Bay 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sheriff Bianco 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Truebelieve 0 0-1
6 6 Swashbuckle 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Town of Gold 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Red Mule 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Veterans Beach 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Science (IRE) 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 El Mayor 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Vocalize 3.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Truebelieve 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Loaded Joe 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Merchants of Cool 30.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Risk Profile 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.