Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 13, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brinee 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Rachie Rach 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Cash Bizness 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Life of Saturdays 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Alys Episode 12.00 4 7-1
10 10 Kleinmeister 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Not Enough Bling 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Roux Bandit 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Always in Vegas 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Takenforgranted 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 10 Dreams of Valor 3.50 1 2-1
1 2 Little Toe 2.50 1.5 3-1
1A 4 Parlay Pete 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Akhnas 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 7 Poseidon Wrath 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Honor My Speed 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 1 Hot Le Roy 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 9 Sweet Rachel 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 6 Zenucci 3.50 SCRATCH
7 8 Pray Ide Sing 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Isn’t It Time 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Scarlet Storm 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Gotteminabind 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Little E 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Talents Hot Deal 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Charming Kat 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Amelies Dreamer 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Dance Lil Darling 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Miss Priority 15.00 8.7 17-1
12 12 Gypsy Jackpot 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Arms Apriority 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 A P Humor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dueforadate 6.00 1 2-1
6 5 Total Malice 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Zydeco Music 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Green Monster 3.00 2 4-1
1 6 Sucre 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mayapretty 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Girl Thirsty 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Love to Learn 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Miss Jamie 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Alberta Moon 12.00 7.4 14-1
1A 11 A Wish for Madelyn 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sue Happy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mongolian Diamond 4.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Bradee Cash 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 It’s Time Baby 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Korat Queen 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Galaxy Affair 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Kinsleys Sweet Pea 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bonus Round 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Touchuponastar 0 0-1
7 7 Double Barrel Man 3.00 1 2-1
1A 8 Pinch Assault 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Galaxy Builder 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Dixie Street 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 4 Masterly 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 9 Payday Too 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Touchuponastar 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 10 Into Wishing 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mr. Tin Man 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Jack Bob and Larry 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Tincandance 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Miss Kennedy 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 3 Philly Wins 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 9 Miss Charlie Gras 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Courtly Doc 15.00 3 6-1
3 2 Gator Proud 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Vale Male 6.00 5 9-1
9 10 Daddy Hey Daddy 12.00 8.2 15-1
1A 6 High Value Target 4.50 SCRATCH
7 8 Super Et 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Extirpator 6.00 1 2-1
5 4 Dust Em 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Game Day Play 8.00 2 4-1
6 5 Janets Jay Jay 12.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Doctor Leo 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Tapit Wise 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Unfathomed 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Wise Verdict 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Pacificislandtime 15.00 6.3 12-1
1A 12 Yankee Seven 8.00 SCRATCH
1 11 Sniveling 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Vim and Vigor 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Areyouinaband 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Classy and Fast 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Miss Nitap 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lots of Gold 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sarahs Home 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Rose Crown 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Lucky Linz 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Gaby’s Promise 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Bigjim’s Silvergal 12.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Achancetowin 15.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Flew by You 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Texas Mama 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.