Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 13, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Goldstorm Glory 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Storm Gauge 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Absolute Jewel 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Gold Forester 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Moon Pool 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Loaded Secret 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Bittersweetbizness 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Charlotte’s Silver 4.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Call Me Kitty 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Arnie P 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Musical Stride 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Calusa Donnie 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Green Amazon 20.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Lookinassah 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fighting Irish 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Twin City 2.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Sammy Stone 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Money Printer 0 0-1
5 5 Primo Touch 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 1.20 1.9 4-1
2 2 Malibu Mambo 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Money Printer 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Riptide Rock 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 English Conqueror 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Churchtown 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Is There a Forest 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 My Girl Hooter 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Cedar Valley 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cora 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Shishka 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Body of Law 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mumblebee 4.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 I Am I Said 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Dontcallmesweety 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pipestone 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Careless Heiress 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Silent Scarlet 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Lincolnville Beach 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Born to Be Good 3.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Classic Queen 4.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Simple Souvenir 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midnight Arkle 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Moment of Peace 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Trebuchet 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Dixie’s Flatter 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Star Scholar 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Forester Humor 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Robitaille 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Uh Oh It’s Magic 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spanish Prince 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Lionesque 10.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Silent Lucidity 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Tragically Funny 3.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Bodie 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Scenic Holiday 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Theboyfromgormley 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Techie 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Baysville 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Wanna Play 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Dixiewish 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Into Empires Song 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pictureday Jessica 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Want to Go Dancing 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Free Carrycomb 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.