Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 14, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Crupi 1.20 1 2-1
2 1 Signator 1.80 1.2 2-1
1A 5 Mindtap 1.20 1.6 3-1
6 7 Inflationary 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 6 Tabeguache 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Weekend Tizzy 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fightertown 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alpine Queen 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Quality Stones 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Alarm Clock 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Ok Honey 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 She’s a Black Belt 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Shadolamo 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Missing Link 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marinara Sauced 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Baldizar 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Alite 50.00 7.4 14-1
16 16 Dangerous Edge 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Uncle George 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fatima’s Blessing 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Citizen K 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Breadman 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Battle Scars 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Salute to America 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bourbon’s Hope 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Eddie the Great 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Frank’s Art 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Top Envoy 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Golquist 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shinsun 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sinful Dancer 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Makart 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tuesday’s Child 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cicciobello 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sight Unseen 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Secret Sanctuary 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Clash A. J. 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kinetic Sky 1.20 1 2-1
12 12 Two Thirty Five 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 5 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Laughing Boy 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Girl Dad 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Largent 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Montauk Summer 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kinenos 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Megayacht 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nathan Detroit 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Space Launch 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mooney Love (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Interpolate 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Poppy 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Spun Special 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lookinforbargains 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Divine Cross 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Material Witness 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Azaria 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midnight Worker 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lord Gatling 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Speight’spercomete 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Once a Giant 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Inspiration Point 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 B C Glory Days 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Zuzudini 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Prince of Joy 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Matty’s Marauder 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lord Brownie 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gal in a Rush 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Wonka 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Half Is Enough 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sail By 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Music Amore 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Everyoneloveslinda 30.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Tasweya 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Poppy Flower 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Girl With a Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zelda (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Brisky Frolic 4.00 1 2-1
10 9 Miscreant 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Belleshazza 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Singalong 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 Temerity 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 1 Geometrique 30.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Ironic Lady 30.00 12.5 24-1
7 6 Exotic Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Lady Firefoot 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 The Sweaty Fox 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Linn Pier 30.00 SCRATCH
1 12 Flywheel Effect 3.50 SCRATCH
9 8 Birthday Time 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Linear Thinking (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
12 11 Vagaries (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.