Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 14, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brave Ollie 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 In for a Penny 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sugar Star 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tale of Tensas 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Custom Guitar 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Magic Apriority 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 T R’s First 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Sweet Jackieleigh 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dontforgetrdreams 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Diatonic 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Moody Rafaela 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lulos 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Hardcore Folklore 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Palatial Times 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Gold Note 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Rockdale 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 6 Special Pryce 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 4 Paralissfrmanalyss 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Town Drunk 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Escrow Style 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Sergeant Reckless 15.00 6.2 12-1
1A 11 Frank the Mayor 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 A Million Stars 3.50 1 2-1
1 7 Kajun Karma 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Clearly a Jet 12.00 2 4-1
5 4 Pink Higgins 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Racy Bille 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 I See Clearly Now 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Astrologysprotege 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Doctored Deal 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Regal Kingdom 4.50 7.5 14-1
7 6 Admiral Afleet 15.00 7.9 15-1
1A 11 Cajun Connection 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lovethatcause 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 That’s D ‘cat 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Cool Catomine 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Wilson to Lockett 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Corvette Spirit 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Guilty Again 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Dealin’ Stelen 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Southpine Gift 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Fort Ridge 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Late Nite Mischief 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Outlaw X. 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Such 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ahimaaz 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bernie Special 4.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Justin Speight 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Xanthus Wrath 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Majestic Mandate 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Mr. Wimbledon Bay 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bryken N Mitchell 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Tapit to the Line 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Moro Flyboy 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 December Seven 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Greeley’s Dealer 10.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Landofthepharaohs 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bayou Jam 6.00 3.4 6-1
1A 6 Binding 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 9 Si Es Goya 5.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Free Indeed 10.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Ciroc O Clock 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hot Stove League 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cashew 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Start Well 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lutie Mo 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mean American 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Fasted 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Trinity Hope 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Just a Win 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet Laura 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Barranca 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Zeerock 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Jewel S.) – Louisiana Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free Drop Maddy 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Janet Is Ready 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Cajun Gumbow 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Guitar Woman 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Serenadingthemoon 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cajun Ninja 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Tensas Candy 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dorgenois 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 For Harper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King of the Court 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Whenthedovescry 4.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Wonder Run 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lunar Light 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Midnight Bayou 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Makati Phil 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mr. Paycheck 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Adios Yankee 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ravens Reflection 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Platinum Equity 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Curtin’s Up 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Invincibility 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.