Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 14, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Factotum 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mayor of Essa 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Anselmo 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Smart Society 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 All Time Classic 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ultimate Answer 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Social Justice 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ngabe 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Velocito 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tamana 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sake and Sushi 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Celtic Revival 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Only At Midnite 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mucho Misstique 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 Christina’s Ring 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Forest Maiden 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pardonnez Moi 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Reload On Fire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (South Ocean S.) – South Ocean S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ancient Spirit 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Anam Cara 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Strike the Pose 20.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Holiday With Amy 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 A Touch of Red 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 I’m a Bourbon Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Beyond Borders 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 I’m a Chi Too 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Bokermin 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 One Punch Charlie 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Browning Island 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Awesomecrest 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 King Ottokar 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Call My Banker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conglomerate 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Elusive Knight 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Dolder Grand 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Collective Force 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ready for the Lady 1.20 3.4 6-1
2 2 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Guestimation 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Super Headline 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lucys Child 20.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Battle of Yorktown 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Chancel 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Black Sun 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mystic Point 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Stylish Gent 4.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Executive Giant 12.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Dixie Bound 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Rookie Radar 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Frost King S.) – Frost King S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Half to Reload 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Boss Holiday 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Poulin in O T 1.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Gem Quality 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Posturing 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Silent Fortune 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Crimson Comet 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I’m No Sleepy Joe 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Seattle Appeal 20.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Manetka 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Zippy Holiday 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Franks Reload 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Smart Coverage 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ugotafriendinme 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Heezespeedy 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Tory’s Holiday 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Souped Up 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Kinetic Stone 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.