Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 15, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Thirty Thou Kelvin 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cookie Crumbs 8.00 2.1 4-1
1A 5 Tonic 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Desert Tempest 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 7 Gustiamo 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 9 Treasured Gem 8.00 SCRATCH
5 6 R Rose’ All Day 10.00 SCRATCH
7 8 On the Payroll 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Hola Gata 4.50 SCRATCH
9 10 Idea Generation (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
1 2 Just a Splash (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Firewolves 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Dancing Sophia 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Regal Rebel 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tekila 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Kukaro 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Tonight We Love 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Carlann 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blitz to Win 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Forty Two Ace 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Dangerous Edge 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Colormepazzi 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 G Munning 2.00 6 11-1
5 5 Salute to America 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Beachfront Bid 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Pretty Persuasive 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Diamond Status 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Western Lane 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mozay 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Yogi 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kinchen (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Libretto (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sareeha (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Commander Buzzkill (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Street Culture 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 Mister Larry 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 10 Got the Gold 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Cajun Commander 12.00 3 6-1
7 8 Last Minute Mario 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Raw Courage 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Holey Matrimony 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Lord Brownie 20.00 5.9 11-1
1A 7 Shardial 3.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Maxim Moment 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Evan Harlan 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Aruba 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Afjan 15.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Outperform 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Celestial Moon 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Unexpected Outcome (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Border War 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Bobbie D (IRE) 3.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Funding Gap (IRE) 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Golden Purchase 50.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Happy Bob 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Rossa Veloce 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Jill’s a Hot Mess 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Blame It On Mary 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Byhubbyhellomoney 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Thinking It Over 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Itsakeyper 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Theodora Grace 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Towering Orbit 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 9 Kokopelli 1.80 SCRATCH
9 10 Social Whirl 10.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Derrynane 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Chris and Dave 4.00 1 2-1
1 3 Pioneer Spirit 6.00 1.2 2-1
9 10 Jemography 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 6 Healing 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 8 Ebben 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 5 Rocco Strong 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 7 Gentleman Joe 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Dust Devil 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Lost in Rome 20.00 7.7 15-1
1A 4 Mount Travers 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Sands Point S.) – Sands Point S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vergara 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hail To 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Skims (GB) 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Pizza Bianca 2.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Eminent Victor 3.00 6 11-1
5 5 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lady Baffled 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Canisy 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Baby Man 1.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Golden Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s the One 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Miss Tapirado 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Fontanafredda 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Violent Vixen 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Glitter Up 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Stuck On Kitten 15.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Get the Candy 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mrs. Green 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Breeze Easy (GB) 3.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Runaway Rockette 15.00 7.4 14-1
15 15 Fight On Lucy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Silky Blue 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Snicket 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Baba 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Queen Sheba 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Madrilena (ARG) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.