Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 15, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dorothy’s the Boss 2.00 1 2-1
2 1 Wind Tryst 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Normalizeddeviance 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 9 Woods Hole 3.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Ruby Dooby Doo 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Crimson Lille 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Legend’s Song 4.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 Iron Bertie 8.00 7.6 14-1
1A 8 Little Four 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wedontbelieveher 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Always Talking 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Foolish Heart 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Playera 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dixieland Dancer 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tuff Bird 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Luckbealadytonight 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Moon Me Again 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jerry’s Turn 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fun With Mun 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dominguez 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Agent Mulgannon 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Elusive 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Liam’s Blue Moon 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Luna Warrior 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Reel Well 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pogi 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Magical Warrior 1.20 1.1 2-1
5 5 Young Turk 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Singlino 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Rebel Empire 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Nelson Avenue 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Golden Decision 6.00 1 2-1
1 2 Frosted Indian 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Colonist 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Comedic Timing 2.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Koko Star 8.00 6.3 12-1
1A 8 Mystic Link 6.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Be Yourself 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 La Hara (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Gunslinger (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Rocky Run S.) – Rocky Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Trouble 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tuskegee Airmen 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Riccio 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dataman 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Saloon 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Mean Tweets 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Handsome Playboy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starry Hope 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Charge It Jenn 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Call On Clara 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Champagne Horizon 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Princess Javoncia 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Riveting Spirit 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kitten With a Whip 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Wiser 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Boppin Anda Weavin 10.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Bazoo 6.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Stormy Bonnie 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Slippy 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Kevin Witte 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Unidentified Man 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mega Millions 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Taino 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Top Boss 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Unpublished 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.