Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 15, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mad Gold 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mizspelt 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Blue Ridge Red 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Amazing American 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Jackie Moon 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Tool Box 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Mr. E Edwards 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Shot On Windy Hill 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Grand Production 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Magnolia Ridge 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Mr. Curlin 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Callen Feels Good 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Izeonpoint 0 0-1
8 9 Sweet Laura 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 Varsity Flygirl 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Dianna’s Jet 6.00 2.5 5-1
1A 8 Cyclone Sorority 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Pressly’s Hope 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Izeonpoint 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Cupere 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Cave Creek 12.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Carlos Loves Tee 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 For Harper 2.00 1 2-1
1 7 Louisiana Liberty 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Cailin Tapa 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Moshinyfuture 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Niklausia 15.00 4 8-1
7 6 Bandit’s Pride 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Sikara Sikara 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Midnight Faith 10.00 5.3 10-1
1A 9 Tap Iron Fist 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Leroy Jenkins 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Runninginthemoney 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Popeyes Heart 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Far Beyond 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Long Arrow 5.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Cpriority 4.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Dixie Star 6.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Unified Assets 10.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Zultan 15.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Alligator Crawl 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mists of Time 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hightail Cowboy 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tenor 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Blushinstreetdevil 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Lauri’s Wish 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Screenplay 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Smoky Topaz 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Taylor’s Sense 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hamazing Lace 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Deal Me a Penny 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Mariah’s Candy 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Lightning Hart 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Taylors Babe 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Boston Belle 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Apriority Girl 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Apriority Magic 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speed Queen 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Absolutely 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Malibu Kendall 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Friendly Aces 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Viv Viv Viv 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Final Quest 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Gather in Bali 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Guanajuato 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 That You Margaret 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Legacy S.) – Louisiana Legacy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Late September 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bisping 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ranch Water 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cravens 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 The Boss Soss 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Pinch Me a Penny 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 King’s Lute 10.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Gobot 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Free From Guilt 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Woo Hoo 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Marilyn’s Magic 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Rebecca G 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tapit’s Lady 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Mave Runner 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Slide 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 I Love You More 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 La Jazz 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Judge This Trip 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dave’s Ronda 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.