Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 15, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bochombo 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Commander Khai 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Daniel’s Magic 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Santos to Wilson 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Brit’s Wit 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sittin On Go 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 One Silk Stocking 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Kimmer 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Baladi 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Canadian Pride 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Todo Fino (CHI) 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 6 Elector 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 City Rage 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Appreciated 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Figureti (CHI) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (California Distaff H.) – California Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leggs Galore 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Eddie’s New Dream 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Rose Dawson 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Harper’s Gallop 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Kleen Karma 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quattroelle (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fearless Girl (IRE) 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Freedom Lass 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ever Smart 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Kirstenbosch 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Duvet Day (IRE) 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lady Jae 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Zog 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Reign of Speed 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Stay in the Game 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mentirosa 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Chaokoon 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Reef City 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Victim of the Nite 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Chick’s Dig It 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Start Them Up 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Conch Daddy 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Our Shining Light (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Facetious 12.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 An Army of Light 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 U R Pressed 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ivory Sky 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Precedent 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Midnight Majesty 6.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Our Journey 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Naughty Niko 50.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Icy Flavor 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Straighttodasource 12.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Honeymoon Suite 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Law Abiding 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trojan Way 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shez Our Arch 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Kitten Calls 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Charlotte Harbor 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Princess Caterina 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Reluctant 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Sweet Heidelberg 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Novella 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gallovie (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Loud Loud Music 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Kittyhawk Lass 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Feathers (IRE) 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kuora (PER) 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Blushing (FR) 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Zabava 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Miss Hard Knocks 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Hot On the Trail 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Draw Me 30.00 11.4 22-1
4 4 Oreo’s Dream 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Modera 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 La Paloma Blanca 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Hialeah Hottie 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bruins Mastery 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Shes a Killa Queen 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Fast Investment 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Short Journey 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dolly May (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 School Dance 5.00 1.2 2-1
13 13 Myfavoritedaughter 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Witch Moon 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ropers N Wranglers 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Rock the Bourbon 12.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Ice Queen 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Beachgrass 12.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Run for My Honey 50.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sensible Move 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Rvalentina 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Lizy D 12.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 In Your Face 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.