Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 15, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 H C Holiday 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hell Bent 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bright Devil (IRE) 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Download 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hit the Point 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Copinsay 20.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Kiddie Holiday 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gospel Way 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twice as Smart 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spigetinmtzaballs 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sir Grayvenscroft 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Executive Chairman 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Taradar 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Eliot Ness 2.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Blues Power 3.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Doinggoodtrouble 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Four Bounce 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 More Than Happy 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kimono Kate 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Treat 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Livin On Luv 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Frac Tales 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Brentwood 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Jab 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Aqua Luna 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo Touring 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Halfinthewrapper 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Ol’ Blondie 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Into Touring 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Arra Go Wan 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Artful Ballerina 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Tavaline 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Trading Bay 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Forest B 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Il Malocchio 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Strega 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Silver Dahlia 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Luz de La Luna 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fish Mooney 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Lady Moonshine 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Collect Dattt 0 0-1
8 8 Miss Jessel 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Secrets Galore 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mrs. C 30.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Be Like Leigh 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 O Wow 30.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Collect Dattt 10.00 2 4-1
12 12 Velikiy 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Worst Behaviour 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Gathering Storm 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Collectively 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Just On Time 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Speed Trap 5.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Eme Claire 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Gayelette 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gio Maria 20.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 I’m Into Mischief 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Secretaryofthenile 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Warwoman 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 A Game 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Maralinga 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dramatic Fashion 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Catch Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Proud Speaker 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Camelot’s Cup 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Who Says 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jolene Jolene 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bequia 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 French Franc (FR) 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Umneyaat 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tenpenny Nail 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Ashbury 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ontario Fashion S.) – Ontario Fashion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beat the System 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Marie MacKay 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Beyond Mybudget 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Moqadama (IRE) 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Imagery 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Hazelbrook 1.20 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Flat Out Vixen 0 0-1
1 1 Bella Nina 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Endorphin Rush 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lil’s Turn 6.00 4.2 8-1
15 15 Moonlight Rain 2.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Machisima 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Text Me Up 3.00 6 11-1
14 14 Blu Sky Sunrise 5.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 San Nicola Star 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Phil in Echo 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Flat Out Vixen 12.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Ami’s Link 8.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Call Her Joey 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Glovanna 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Anita Grigio 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pino in a Purse 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.