Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 16, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 C’Est Magnifique 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dude N Colorado (GB) 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Life At Sea 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Take Me to Jimmy 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Fire Baron 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Calycanthus 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Kid America 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 American Halite 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Great Skill 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Narciso Dali 50.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Ohana Honor 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Maria From Miami 2.00 1 2-1
1 5 Miss Mia Lia 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Super Caro 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Magic Miss 5.00 4.6 9-1
1A 7 Mrs. Cash Man 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Extessa 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Graceful 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Spunk 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick Return 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 In Sky We Trust 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Pianzi 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Winning Drive 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Gandy Dancing 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 F F Rocket 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Long Term Thinking 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Musical America 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Java Buzz 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 King Angelo 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Carpe’s Dream 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 After Five 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 The Great One 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Gianni Lambo 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Fluid Situation 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Montatham 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Ikigai 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Printrack 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Leddy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bobby the Tank 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sounds Spooky 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Liar’s Poker 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 General Banker 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Michael Leis 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Drake’s Passage 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Zapruder 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Social Sidekick 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Stow On the Wold 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Metamorphoses 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Super Salvatore 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Exalted One 30.00 9.2 17-1
14 14 War Prince 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Thethrillofvictory 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Provision 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Mighty Atlas 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Troubleshooter 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bossmakinbossmoves 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Curlin’s Wisdom 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Wild Banker 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Therisastormbrewin 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Six Percent 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Simply 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Truancy 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hang Tight 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Joey Loose Lips 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bali’s Shade 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Taco Bean 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mister Candy Ride 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Forty Comets 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Maxim Moment 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Strasbourg 8.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Kingstown 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Floral Park S.) – Floral Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Edith 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Too Sexy 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Spun Glass 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Can’t Buy Love 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Queen Sheba 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Short Summer Dress 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kept Waiting 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Piece of My Heart 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Frank’s Rockette 0.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Igloo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Activist Investing (GB) 0 0-1
9 9 Activist Investing (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Decanted 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Scramble 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Royal Velvet 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Clubhouse 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Wideright 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 American Raider 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Full Coverage 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Summer Bee 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hollywood Closeup 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Moonflyer 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.