Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 16, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Belentime 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Forittable 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Three Mile Limit 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mia and Me 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Magic Spin 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Snookered 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Why Not Bourbon 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dr. Shane 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Our Zuma 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Taos (FR) 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Jegos Fire 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Wiley O’Rielly 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Perlarana 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Call Her Joey 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ben Lomond 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Mesa Skyline 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jim’s Hope 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wild Conversation 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Barwick 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 One True Gentleman 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Seattle Point 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Might Bee Speedy 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rum Cup 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tempo Madness 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Raise a Profit 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Mr. De 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Beau Guest 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Reload’s Rascal 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Uptown Lights 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Chunky Monkey 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 War Safe 5.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Wellworththewait 12.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Niteinshiningarmor 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lapochka 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Timeskip 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sunrise Drive 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mnemba Island 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tycoon 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Maximus Momentus 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 So Suave (IRE) 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Coleyville 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sunspear 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ocelot 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Feelthebeat 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Al Heybay 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Napa Spirit (IRE) 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Celebratory 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Grand Alliance 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Analyzer 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Speedy Bolt 20.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Enjoy the Music 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 The Sinner Is You 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Emicrack (CHI) 12.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Executive Search 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Hallie’s Hero 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 U S Army Corps 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Sea Scout 15.00 6 11-1
11 11 Race for Pinks 6.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Selfmade 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Honey Won’t 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Goldmine Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Princess Elizabeth S.) – Princess Elizabeth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Friends for Life 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Courtly Ro 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fortyfiveseventy 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Meritamen 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bijou Baby 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Me and My Shadow 2.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Flysofreeashleeb 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Wickenheiser 2.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Jumpin Junie 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Souper Sinclair 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Midnight Tempesta 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aura of Gold 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hey Cue 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Yorkville 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mesa Spirit 2.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Two Rivers Over 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dream Jereem 3.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Beyond Talented 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dani’s Victory 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gendragon 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sailor’s Passion 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Hyperfocus 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Society Joe 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Doctor Uptown 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Chasing Vinny 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Veloce 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Courtly Manner 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Carmenootz 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jungle Fighter 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.