Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lil Miss Hotshot 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Frisky Feeling 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Canoochee 2.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Towson 1.60 3.5 7-1
4 4 Hola Princess 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Valerie First 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Two Princes 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 French Toast 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jarlian 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Speightster Red 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jacks American Pie 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Grazely 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Compound It 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Major Cam 1.50 1 2-1
8 8 Tough Workout 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Whata Guy 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Starship Gotham 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dadashev 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sweet Pari 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Ash of My Enemy 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Toledo Gold 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Alignment 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Red Revolution 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Country Miles 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Itwasthedevilsidea 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hotpot 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mega Charlie 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Austin Whylie 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Hornbeam 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Lt. Columbo 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Peter G. Fox 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Horse Be With You 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Relativlea 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Orbert 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 We Be There 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ronin Warrior 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 The Method 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mountain Tree 8.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Flimflam Man 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Social Group 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Son of a Saint 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Wagon Boss 1.60 3.4 6-1
9 9 Relishment 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 American Fleet 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cantstoprunning 5.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Kings Highway 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Piggybank 10.00 10 19-1
12 12 Strong Breeze 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Man Elvis 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Out of Line 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Auburn Hills 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mo Ready 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ageless Endeavor 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Enforcer 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Drunken Bridge 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Soul Provider 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 The Mase 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Gremlin 3.50 7.1 13-1
1 1 Sonic Bloom 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Titanium Reckage 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Free to Fly 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Flashing Diamond 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 She Dazzle 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Peak of Chic 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Prospera 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Imperial Moon 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Awesome Pal 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 He’s Incredible 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Cumberland Avenue 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sneakiness 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Get the W 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Federal Case 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Genghis 10.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Hard West 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Little Harbour 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Catch My Vibe 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Easy Day 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Market Maven 4.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Hero Tiger 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spittin Image 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 The Sicarii 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Fast Bob 5.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Johnny Ritt 8.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Rob the Rich 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Star Luck 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Strawberry Red 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Daytime Lover 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tomater Gator 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Youshouldbesolucky 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Kowboy Karma 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ironbound 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Crafty Jack 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Victor’s Dynasty 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.