Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Spoke | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pategory One | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verrazano Bridge | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nine Toe Johnny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Kid | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Current Hope | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice of Me | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indirectly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expensive | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | E T’s Super Star | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitzville | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Jade’s Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J Wass | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D Black Mamba | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Large | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Splitzville | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alpha’s Candy Man | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Tuttle | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vero Sun | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Ruler | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wizard Serrat | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Give Me Two Steps | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Violent Pass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Eyes On You | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Monaco Joe | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | All Eyes On You | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veeson | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Global Surprise | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kidman Kerry | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monaco Joe | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destin’s Mission | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muddy Drop Kid | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Praetorian Guard | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Royal | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boy Is It Hot | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lt’s Jacknthebox | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Predominate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Jim | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Old Beau | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Staff Sergeant | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stella’s Tour | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Social Joe | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Monk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ninth of April | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Winsor Manor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Exclusive Order | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Constitutional Bid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frozen Funds | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chain Reaction | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Brother Neil | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Still the One | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Boogie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Jaxston | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Porsupuesto | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trigger Happy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pardsy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puttheglassdown | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pennsylvania Steel | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Navy Admiral | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ahsad | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saponara | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geebert | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Roundtree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Mandate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Didinger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Checkitup | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Battuta d’Oro | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Bite | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ryan’s Fleet | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Modern Era | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fierce and Strong | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyhook | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Bearrish One | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Jim | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Love | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of a Buck | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No Confession | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alta Fox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Instinctive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Field Letters | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Takeittocomittee | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Titanic Rose | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Early Edition | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Chelsea Wall | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Madame Rouge | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appreciate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Extravagant Rosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Neon City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Coconut Beach | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Voice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Standoff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A Case of You | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom Queen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Far Mo Power | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buy Land and See | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmesawithme | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senior Investment | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ridin With Biden | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thomas Shelby | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amatteroftime | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logico | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Commission | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Jump Start S.) – Jump Start S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beren | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Music | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wait for It | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth B | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Shot | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Rain | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eagles Cry | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midtowncharlybrown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Like a Saltshaker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Ernie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vine Jet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Steve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Croatian | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grit’n’grind | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Angry Man | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Ned | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Equality | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ilovecharlybrown | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dubrovsky | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Gump | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Petulant Delight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mission Oberon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Royal Coup | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Beautiful Wall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Awe Mun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Call Fitzroy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Indian Buzz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pellegrini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.