Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 19, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Speak Unity 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Man Vito 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Haney Boys 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sagrada Ray 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 I Am That I Am 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Kefi 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Backatya 1.80 1 2-1
1A 4 Branco Maria 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 5 Bourbon Over Ice 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 7 Ima Pharoah 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Rileys Dude 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 What Say You 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Another Lulu 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Heartness 4.00 1 2-1
4 5 Mapache G 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Kith 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Shimmering Light 10.00 5 9-1
6 7 Axxerator 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 6 Illustrious 3.00 5.6 11-1
9 10 Lifespan 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Chrome Finish 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sunny Saint 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 2 Sovereign Change 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Classy Nancy 4.50 1 2-1
7 8 Creative Cadence 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 9 Quantico Creek 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 6 Coal Mine 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unbridled Sass 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Saltwater Gypsy 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Angelofcanterbury 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Angelas Party Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Belmar Summer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paynt by Number 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 School of Thought 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 May Beau 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Creme Caramel 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Roselee 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Prime Coat 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Saints Victory 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Expect a Circus 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Cupid 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stylish Rags 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Thistlefield 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Preparefortakeoff 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Quiet Imagination 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Reign On and On 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Dark Honey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 We Miss Susie 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Buy the Best 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Philadelphia Belle 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Intrepid Daydream 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Juror Number Four 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Honey Money 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Deco Strong 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Hey Mamaluke 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Masterful One 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rayo Negro 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Seventytimesseven 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Allaboutthebeach 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Out the Woods 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Pressing Concern 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Battle Map 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.