Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 19, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Russet Moon 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Song Spectacular 10.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Chelsea’s Glory 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Moonshine Max 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Isle Call U Later 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 War Zong 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Amandas New Man 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Heza Breezin 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Oak Hill Mo 8.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Genes Feather 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 West Texas Bob 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Draft Choice 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 We Need a Five 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Arctic Rose 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Ghoster 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Caribe Nights 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hope for Change 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 G’s Storm 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 M and M’s Custom 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Feller 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Traelee 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Sonic City 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Funny Actor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Call Me Darlin 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ann’s Storm 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Wheels Like Nala 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pennie’s Magic 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Savannah’s Here 8.00 3 6-1
11 11 Saberfight 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lucky Deal 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Grace’s Vision 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Chatain’s Eagle 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ellie’s Touch 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Shotgun Annie 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Riptide Rose 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Matts Fire N Ice 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Life Is a Banquet 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Flat Out American 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Eye Dee Kay 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Ghost Cowboy 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Smart Analysis 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Custom Blue Grass 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Mesabi 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ricky Bobby 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prince Perfecta 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Putthehammerdown 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Catinandscatin 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Johnny Jude 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Ondatrackpimpernel 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cigar Van 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Flat Out Fabio 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Josan 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Lamont 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiz Showbiz 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Pop Life 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Always a Catch 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mias Moonbeam 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Zenucci 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Diside 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Chaosmos 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fish N Chick 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cyber Sneaker 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 She’s My Priority 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Social Date 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Miss Checkmark 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Chicken Or the Egg 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Venus Island 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Shrew Grit 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Prizeless 5.00 1 2-1
2 1 Fiery Playboy 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mucho Marvin 12.00 3 6-1
1 3 I’ll Raise You 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Iron in the Fire 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Kahaal 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Grunt 8.00 5.6 10-1
8 9 It’s a Bird 3.50 8.9 17-1
4 4 Oceola 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Darren’s Fortune 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Social Afleet 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Temprano 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Woman With a Book 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Outlaw X. 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mr. Unusual 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Applewood 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Major Kong 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Calculate 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.