Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ocean’s Reserve | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Refuah | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Son Jake | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Josie’s Thunder | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tie Breaker | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Vine | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Linny Kate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kerik | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | That Is Key | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grudge | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Al’s Gal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jen’s Battle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dracarys | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Groove | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Day (FR) | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Cairo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Community Adjusted | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Mallomar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charleston Strong | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proven Hope | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jurkovec | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Straight Time | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stjames | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Recluse | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Upper Level | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kimbo Dancer | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crack the Code | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trade Secret | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Caught My Eye | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monshun | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dazzy | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belarus | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closing Deals | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | True Empress | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Cold Gold | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arabellas Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Maeve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Lips Are Sealed | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatlovelookslike | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Gossip | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Thornhill | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Mia | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theodora Grace | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Rocket | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Girl of Tosconova | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Impazible Donna | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | To a T | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baba | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snicket | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Strand | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firing Carol | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golquist | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Hunter | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maseta | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suit of Armor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Got It | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fenway | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie the Great | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | On Our Way Boyz | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hudson Overpass | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nature Boy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stella Mars | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anador (FR) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamful | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Up the Score | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maybe Later | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solib | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Except Temptation | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady of Thoroton | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Gal | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Synonymous | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chaysenbryn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I’m Nervous Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spooky Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Know It All Audrey | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.