Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 20, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Freedom 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lady Lancer 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Go Nikki Go 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Saenger Star 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Culpa Blanco 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Jimmydabook 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Fairview 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Elary 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Torn Jeans 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lucky Lizzie 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Classy Sadie 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Salsa Rita 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Youknowwhatitizzz 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mosler’s Touch 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Charlotte Webley 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moon Sign 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 The Grayt Pumpkin 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 In Detail 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dart 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Z’s So Good 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Excalibrate 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Coco Shell 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Blackwater Falls 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Whiskey Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bright Forecast 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Evey’s Candy 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Swifty Devil 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Flawless Cat 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Rol Again Dancer 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 The Colora Kid 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cold Feet 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Super Garner 3.50 1 2-1
1 2 Prince Jersey Town 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Nimble Beast 1.80 3.5 7-1
7 8 Inside Risk 8.00 5 9-1
1A 4 Masai Man 2.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Rack Gin 15.00 SCRATCH
6 7 John’s Promise 6.00 SCRATCH
4 5 Devious Mo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Radical Right 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Little Vic 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Spikezone 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Epic Luck 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 A Dangerous Guy 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 One Whirlwind Ride 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Shoo Shine 2.00 1 2-1
1 3 Bumperdoo 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Stefano 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Fole’s Notion 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 9 Under the Radar 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 7 Azure Sky 10.00 4.7 9-1
1A 5 Wentz 6.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Trululu 6.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Radieux 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Muchacho Macho 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Internet of Things 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Miracle Silver 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Pay the Kid 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Last Promise 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Minecrafter 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 It’s Fate 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Master of War 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.