Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 20, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 M’Lady Thatcher 4.50 1 2-1
13 13 Midnight Choir 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Coolcatsnkittens 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Meliponini Bee 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tanka Tough 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Miss Chief 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Performanceanxiety 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Vanilla Bean 12.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Categoryninetynine 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Morethanastorm 20.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Bizzy Bizzy 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 That’s Some Kiss 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Strawberry Point 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Abstract Moment 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Coffee Bean 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mako Miss 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 War and Roses 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bowie Two Step 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Born for Victory 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Smarty John 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Believeinrocknroll 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Star Shopping 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eleazar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flimsy 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 My Candy Girl 1.60 1.3 2-1
4 4 Nicolar 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Daily Planet 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Peace Out 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Utterly Courageous 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Alwaysinmotion 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Bourbon Gypsy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mit Mazel 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Twelveo’clockrock 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zen Master 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Rahmer 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Brion 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Kozy’s Wildcat 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Appraisal 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Pelota 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Dream Happy 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Gravitron 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cupid’s Strike 6.00 2.8 5-1
13 13 Tic Tic Tic Boom 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Tasweya 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Baby Blythe 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ocean Safari 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Peace With Honor 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Juxtapose 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Quality Control 15.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Surya 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Passion Plus 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Canoodle 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Acadian Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss Delicious 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 You Look Cold 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Orb’s Party Girl 0 0-1
4 4 Flight to Shanghai 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Click to Confirm 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Jades Gelly 4.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Chardonnay 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Hashtag Lucky 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 My My Girl 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 B B’s Busted 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eight Danzas 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Runaway Monet 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Behind the Couch 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Halo City 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Matta 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Indian Lake 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Nothing Better 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Chess Master 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Justwaveandsmile 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Marvalous Mike 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 It’s a Gamble 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 About Today (ARG) 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Arthur’s Hope 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Factor It In 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Dynamo 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Wired In 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Addy’s Laddy T N T 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Jebster 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Destiny Joy 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Jahez 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sergeant Parker 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Right Quick 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Mr. Fibonacci 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.