Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 20, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mia’s Authority 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Practical Gizmo 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Zippity Day 2.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Courtingcourtney 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Skinny Dippin 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Muskoka Lady 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Little Fire 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War’s End Kiss 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Katchy Name 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Rifling 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Seattle Causeway 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Domer Allure 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Stuff 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Rashida 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Flowers ‘n Berries 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Speedy Bubbles 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Humor Me Jim 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fast’n Sexy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rose Ring 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Awildas Treasure 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Gormley Girl 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Royal City Reign 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Stormy Suzie 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Speak English 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ivy’s Star 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Know How (GB) 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Henry’s Gamble 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Kerics Beauty 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Cleomenes 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Executive Effect 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Ashbury 20.00 3 6-1
10 10 Big Ginger 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Fourteen Days 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Inspector Reload 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sugar Is Golden 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 The Hard Way 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pemberley 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tempereya 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Trizzel Trazzel 1.60 2.7 5-1
6 6 Vivid Vixen 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mum’s the Word 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Miss Marie 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fredericia 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ima Daredevil 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Eleanor Powell 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Airy Fairy 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bossalina 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 D’s Soul 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Nice Company 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Anita Grigio 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Glovanna 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Let’s Have Fun 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jimmies Big Day 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Poseidon Steel 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Classy Whisper 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 City Legend 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bet N Win 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Midway Mischief 1.40 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ashwicken 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hushemup 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Silent Creek 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Nadiabizniz 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Doo Dah 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Hit Me Up 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Shazeen 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Ivictory 20.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Island Belle 2.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Cee’nceesgreytness 4.50 6.6 12-1
11 11 Reins of Purple 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Positive 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.