Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ouster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquist | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernardino | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biondi | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreampoint | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Connecticut | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born Dancer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valentino’s Here | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand United | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Spirit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Crypto Cash | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Caribbean (AUS) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Dark Storm | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Bourbon Bay | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Kumar | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Endowed | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millean | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corkman | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Tryst | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abundant Honor | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emperor’s Cause | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Water Flow | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Its All Relevant | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giocare | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runabout | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amount | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior in Chief | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invest | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Disarmed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Be of Courage | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Makar | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factually Correct | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joyful Ghost | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tater and Tot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Regard | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Emerald | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Hustlin | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camm’ Duke | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fire King | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lifetime of Chance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liotta | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | M. C. Double R | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattapoisett | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Mattapoisett | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liquidity Provider | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lute Player | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adam’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Mischief | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carats and Cake | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultima Copa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amundson | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s Pride | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lastchanceatglory | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Night Ops | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Travers | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caerus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Orchestration | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dripping Gold | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daunt | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hilliard | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exult | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Good Medicine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fighter in the Win | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Mo Rewards | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saranac (FR) | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Perceived | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bold Victory | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Always Connected | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mostly Harmless | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goodmorning Angel | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spicy Ginger | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abstract Moment | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Firefoot | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Wine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linn Pier | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ricelle | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clairarific | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Afraid Not | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Birthday Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.