Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 21, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Milk Money 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Angelic Gal 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Krazykatkousin 4.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Anna’s Image 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Diosa Fortuna 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sprint Breaker 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Glass Star 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 My Sweet Torment 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Almashriq 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kuhl Star 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Small Reason 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Venezuela First 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ocean Ride 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Action Warrior 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sixty One 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bali Moon 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Ave Fenix 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kingdom’s Spirit 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Plane Jane 1.80 4.8 9-1
4 4 Diamond Rock 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Nurse Judy Whitney 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Mischief Queen 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Defended 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Kitty Quick 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Mama Maria 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Storm 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Beauty of the Sea 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Zosterop 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Oopsie Doopsie 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Rational Kate 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Darling Luna 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Souper Slews Cash 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Little Belita 0 0-1
2 2 Mi Negrita 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 No Decaf 1.40 1.3 2-1
5 5 Raison the Glass 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Datttsafancyfox 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bella Sofi 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Little Belita 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Montana Joyce 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Yeguita Queen 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ma Coco 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Tap 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Drinks On Me 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Island Magic 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Queen Calypso 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Check the Grade 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Miss Miami 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Nurse Judy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Capridrey 0 0-1
8 8 California Gigi 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Shes a Gift 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Capridrey 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Take the Podium 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lil Annie Rose 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Imahonkytonkgirl 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Puppet Master 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rahtid 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Honesto 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Uncle Armando 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Meteorito 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Granny Makes Cents 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tinker Tailer 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Capture Mi 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 King Nate 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 T Ville 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Badbadbobby 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Canyouhearmenow 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kikilove 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Fia First 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Weld Hall 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Turn On the Charm 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sassy But Precious 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Starship Sunrise 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Uncaptured Princes 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Secret Samaritan 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 She’s a Joy 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Wildcat Lunita 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.