Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 21, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Storming Lady 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Never for Money 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Miss Fia 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Pistachio Princess 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Fulminate 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Capstone Girl 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Ready Jet Go 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Over Attracted 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ole Silver 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Whistler’s Style 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bowl of Cherries 1.60 3.7 7-1
5 5 Northern Gem 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mining Crypto 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Ryder’s Candy 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Linger 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Quicklikeabunny 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 The Big Cake 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wyfire 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Uncle Jeff 4.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 My Summer Dream 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Kant Beat the Rock 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Gator Shining 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Heaven’s Music 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Thanks Maggio (ARG) 5.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Mighty Matt 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Blame George 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sugar Sugar 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Miss Baylee 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Warren’s Show Bizz 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Golden Halo 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Worthiness 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Vegas Dream 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Lucy L 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Wiki Wahine 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Hot Rod Mama 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Opry 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Southern King 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Alvaaro 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Proud Pedro (FR) 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Comradery (IRE) 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Kitten’s Spa 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Leprino 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Holy Ghost 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Reckoning Day 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Black Storm 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Devoted to You 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 El Tigre Terrible 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Storminside 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cajun Treasure 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 New Eagle 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Fort Bridger 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Rusty Cage 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Sharp Warning 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rexford 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jam Session 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Midnight Taxes 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mobe Town 12.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Carver 4.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Ransomware 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Ze’bul 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Clooney 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Low Expectations 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Seaboard 30.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Zookeeper 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Captain Sparrow 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.