Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 21, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marten River 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Executive Sight 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Western Trouble 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Wenjack 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Prince Sussex 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Alicia’s Kid 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Goldmine Cat 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Tall Water 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Striking Heir 20.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Just Jimmy 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Passionplate 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Prince of Ayrshire 10.00 1.5 3-1
14 14 Guns n’ Rojas 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Morstachy’s 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 It’s True 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Today 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hemlo Gold 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Absolute Chairman 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Rock Bullet 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Quiet Vista 4.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Confusing 12.00 6.1 11-1
15 15 Paramount Prince 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Proud Ronin 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Trinity Park 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Street Serenade 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jack 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Step Forward 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Last Dawn 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 He’s Got Soul 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Cure in Reach 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mahogony Wildcat 50.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Take Charge Sousi 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Quick Reload 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aim for the Sky 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jackie’s Pride 3.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Confident N Elite 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Gozilla 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Wood Be Wild 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Heat Merchant 10.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Mr Narcissistic 4.50 8.4 16-1
7 7 Dragon’s Key 8.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Cerebro 10.00 10.3 20-1
10 10 Exceed 20.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Racing in the Rain 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talk to Ya Later 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pleasure’s Gold 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Indian Music 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 My Girl Sky 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sacred Dancer 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Allpaidup 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Well Actually 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Souper Flashy 3.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Keep It Neat 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nonno’s Little Boy 0 0-1
4 4 Credit River 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Newport Agent 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Finding Freedom 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Nonno’s Little Boy 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tour of Duty 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Eagle Chief 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 More Than a Dance 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Quiet Intent 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 October Frost 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Just Start Me Up 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Giant One 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Giant Teddy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Silent Runner 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Hunt Master 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bossy Holiday 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Uncle Joe 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Full Screen 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Banff 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Mavrik 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bartica 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 William’s Cause 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bet 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Anselmo 3.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Pot Committed 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Free Cat 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mr. Commish 10.00 7 13-1
11 11 Unbridled Inferno 30.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Mister Max 20.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Dusty’s Chance 15.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Beaufort 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.