Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marten River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Sight | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Trouble | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wenjack | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Sussex | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alicia’s Kid | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goldmine Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Heir | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Jimmy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Passionplate | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Ayrshire | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Guns n’ Rojas | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morstachy’s | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s True | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Today | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hemlo Gold | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Absolute Chairman | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Bullet | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Vista | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Confusing | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Paramount Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Proud Ronin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Trinity Park | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Street Serenade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Step Forward | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Dawn | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Got Soul | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cure in Reach | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahogony Wildcat | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Sousi | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Reload | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s Pride | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confident N Elite | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gozilla | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wood Be Wild | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heat Merchant | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Narcissistic | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dragon’s Key | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cerebro | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exceed | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racing in the Rain | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Ya Later | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasure’s Gold | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Music | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Sky | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Dancer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allpaidup | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Well Actually | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Flashy | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep It Neat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonno’s Little Boy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Credit River | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Newport Agent | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Finding Freedom | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tour of Duty | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagle Chief | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Than a Dance | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Intent | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | October Frost | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Giant One | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Giant Teddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Runner | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hunt Master | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Holiday | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Joe | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Screen | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banff | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Mavrik | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bartica | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | William’s Cause | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anselmo | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pot Committed | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free Cat | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Commish | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled Inferno | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Max | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dusty’s Chance | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beaufort | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.