Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invest Wisely | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sources and Uses | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liguria | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erna | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nyxed | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treasured Gem | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thegirlfromireland | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Splash (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passionate Dream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Sexy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swift Tap | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blake B. | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buckingham Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Major Spin | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skylander | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bezos | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hatch | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Basis Risk | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messidor (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Plum Ali | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Messidor (IRE) | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kept Waiting | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evvie Jets | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Por Que No | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Funny How | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Feline | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juliana’s Rose | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Set Juliet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Flame | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny How | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bullet | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ribot’s Valentine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Akayla (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will Be Famous | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On the Payroll | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mademoisellejackie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than a Diva | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Letter of Gold | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Rose’ All Day | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milieu | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agua Dulce (GB) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Bee | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Appalachian Trail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rudder’s Men | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic Legacy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Catch | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chess Spectacular | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Boat to Skye | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormandy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scootscoot | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yorkshire Prince | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paros | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skellig | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Hill Prince S.) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mackinnon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Better | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Limited Liability | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial City | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Anthony | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Fast | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constitutionlawyer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nantasket Beach | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | M. C. Double R | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Testa Dura | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Me | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Destin Hoofman | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dee’s Speedstre | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Alex | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Banker | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Garth Road | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Study | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasin’ You | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pagett | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chulainn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danzigwiththestars | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Java Buzz | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emboite (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steady On | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Paddy | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Internal Capital | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impulsiveness | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perceived | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Deep Cover | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not Phar Now | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Smoke | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yarrow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Klickitat | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shiraz | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Neuro | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brew Pub | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nueva York | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Excellent Timing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Unique Unions | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.