Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You Have No Idea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corona Del Mar | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Megans Millions | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cora Pearl | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bank On It | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple L’s Cutter | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Early Dawn | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paynt the Moon | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Tizzy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catcake | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isolation | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia Dawn | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Deadline | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finnleys Encore | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angela’s Celerity | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Little Girl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Serrano’s Warrior | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Cat Jake | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Boy | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Addisons Warrior | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Bayou | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starport | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusivedestination | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Tat | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Eddie A | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon St Tappin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joeboy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tin Delay | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Book | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oak Hill Solution | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Counterfeit | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Sarge | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slow | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Band Boss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reunification | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World of Hurt | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryan’s Grace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K V Squared | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Another Win | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maywon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bell Pepper | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Micajah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Ridge | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Nightmare | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Priority | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock On Cowboy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Prado | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Rogue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crocodile Jacques | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muffin Nuts | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Friendofthecourt | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Ronnie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Semi Charmed Life | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | His Giant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herzen | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birthday Party | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Frank the Mayor | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Stan’s Miracle Man | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Cowboy Ridge | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy City | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Monzza | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Creekmore | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shifty Henry | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lode of Blarney | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of a Storm | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let It B | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carbon Stryker | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Production | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creative Letters | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overdeliver | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jake the Band Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Farewell Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | In the Arch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pac the Pulpit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Start | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Matter | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Trolley | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dignified N Krafty | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chan | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Strike | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friend’s Do Care | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angola Vacation | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Double Trap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Jam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saberman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.