Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maryland Million Turf Starter H.) – Maryland Million Turf Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Samui Sunset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Clubman | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Shooter | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Good Year | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alpha Queue | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seville Row | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super E | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elementary | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Ferber | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Traffic | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mint Game | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Portland | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor My World | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Antipoison | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maryland Million Starter H.) – Maryland Million Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Wolfman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commanding General | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Laddie Liam | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tauber | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Fooling Dude | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maid the Journey | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxide | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rapid Response | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tommy Shelby | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tom Terrific | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notion to Tapit | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cargo Ship | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dolice Vita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.) – Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grateful Bred | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky’s Not Falling | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Boat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pickin Sea Glass | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Island Philo | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cynergy’s Star | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Man J J | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Showtime Cat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Where Paradise Lay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Can the Queen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Monster Mason | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Justwaveandsmile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | B Determined | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maryland Million Nursery S.) – Maryland Million Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heldish | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost Weekend | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnyz From Albany | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildhunch | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bandits Heart | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paymengold | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bo’s Bourbon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bestsugardaddyever | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Indybound | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pride of Payton | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hop and Scotch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Super Accelerate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Feeling Woozy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maryland Million Distaff Starter H.) – Maryland Million Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sick Pack Sara | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mavilus | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Betcha by Golly | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unrequited Love | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Targe | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sommer Velvet | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chica Rabiosa | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff’s Kid | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Startwithabang | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spanikopita | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Fire Diva | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dulce Kiara | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bellswillberinging | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Utterly Enchanting | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mejoramiga | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | I Have Courage | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maryland Million Ladies S.) – Maryland Million Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coconut Cake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maldives Model | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Thoughts | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Fireball | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amplio Esquema | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mosalah | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gals Gal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gamestonks | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Dixie Lass | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Gittin There | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champagne Toast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maryland Million Distaff S.) – Maryland Million Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fille d’Esprit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Beauty | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Hot | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breviary | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fool Yourself | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Gracie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Odds | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Wildcat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | R B’s Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maryland Million Lassie S.) – Maryland Million Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chickieness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bosserati | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Avary | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skylar’s Sister | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cocktail Dreaming | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blome | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shell Belle | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cynergy’s Electra | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flamingo Faze | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fivecommatwo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lectric Rod | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Sue | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willful Desire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Moonshine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sister Spirit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brooklyn Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maryland Million Turf S.) – Maryland Million Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cannon’s Roar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nick Papagiorgio | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Street | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Hauler | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Prankster | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Copper | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Crabs N Beer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. d’Angelo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up Against It | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Benny Havens | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johng | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhumjar | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nicky Bear | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Power Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Megayacht | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maryland Million Sprint S.) – Maryland Million Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fortheluvofbourbon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Memory Bouquet | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heir Port | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karan’s Notion | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going to the Lead | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Tradition | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and You | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Alwaysinahurry | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldenize | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Air Token | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Katie’s Notion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hemp | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Local Motive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rominski | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Elusive Agent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maryland Million Classic S.) – Maryland Million Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catchacougar | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Vance Scholars | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Crown | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Torch of Truth | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Monday Morning Qb | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ournationonparade | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Poser | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prendimi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crouchelli | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Virginia Fulla | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cordmaker | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Benandjoe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maryland Million Turf Distaff Starter H.) – Maryland Million Turf Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mosler’s Image | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pounding Music | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Downtown Katie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brushing | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Fire | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Glossamer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evangeline Allons | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dry Well | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foxtrot Seville | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Cat | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Please Marry Me | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Wine Time | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Chelichna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Claire’s Darling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Closertotheheart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.