Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 22, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Devil Moon 2.50 1 2-1
6 5 Trebbiano 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 Law Abiding 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Virat 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Greenbow 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Mastermind 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Black and Blue 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 98 Storming Chrome 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mongolian Panther 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Larimar 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Take a Leap 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 La V. 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sailing Along 2.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tiz a Master 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Buy American 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Granola Girl 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Tiergarten 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dear Beau (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Katerini 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Runninwiththeboyz 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Natalia 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Nearest N Dearest 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 M K Heart 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chris Fix 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Mourvedre 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Still On the Books 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Armaveer 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mongolian Ninja 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Take the Two Ten 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Pittsburgh 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasin Munny 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Encroachment 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Give Me the Lute 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Maven 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mac Daddy Too 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lincoln City 3.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Niles Channel 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Finally Here 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Inch 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starship Sky 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight’s Girl 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lady Blackbird 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Never Sway 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Chao Mar 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Awesome Pamela 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Roman Empress 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mount Mary (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ragtime Rose 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Electric Glide 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Balenciaga Betty 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wirly Girly 5.00 7 13-1
5 5 Carmel by the Sea 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Cute Khloe 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Sweet Tessa 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Savile Row 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Houndstooth 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Street Art 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Encode 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Laughing Legacy 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Damazio 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mitico 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Nice Guy Clay 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Luka Grazie 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Chicknfingerfriday 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Reckless Affair 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 My Ransom 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Crypto Ride 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tom and Jazzy 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Theuntouchableone 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Please Focus 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Stormy Joe 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.