Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Bat Flip | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Scat Tu Tap | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Faraday | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | In Spades | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | American Hustle | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wisecraken | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kalik | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Please Baby | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fightertown | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Brother Showtyme | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Equal Protection | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Sorpreso | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | McCullough | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Big Wicks | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unruly Julie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myriskyaffair | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youens | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lisheen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ever Summer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Boogie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rhombique | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ensemble (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Corinna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anywho | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Kayleigh’s Pride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Free | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Amy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anywho | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginettes On Fire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reign of Thunder | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barleewon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Royal Prince | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chess’s Dream | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Agenda | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jack the Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Speaker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artie’s Angel | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Out East | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Barleewon | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Conquest | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Front Man | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Arrio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Great Workout | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Heart | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Alacrity | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Bay | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captainsdaughter | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vallelujah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run Curtis Run | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Boss | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grooms All Bizness | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sosua Summer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s Right | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Many Twizzlers | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Kid | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legends Can’t Die | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Jeremy | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cyberviking | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maya Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Leddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Masked Marauder | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Breadwinner | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Love | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motion to Strike | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merchants of Cool | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jake Rocks | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Will E Sutton | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectatorless | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lisa’s Vision | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dufresne | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silken Dollar | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tis a Pity | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Gaze | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Doc Rock | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Latkes | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High School Crush | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Dancer | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Road to Remember | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Exfiltration | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Carbon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Queens Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Follow the Fed | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Striking Melody | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bring the Magic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amanda’s Folly | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Chance | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3X | 14 | Pebble Lane | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Gorgeous | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2B | 13 | Sly Sloane | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Hypnocurrency | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | April First | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Maggie T | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Sweet Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Sarah’s Dialed In | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 10 | Ma Mi Jo Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.