Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grazed My Heart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoove as Silk | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loyal to a Fault | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Gift | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Kaline | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Crown | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bag’s Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agrigento | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Gun | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carol’s Comic | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Serve | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Four Years | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Premio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crew Dragon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overdue | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luvluv | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Taylor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Lily | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Renee | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Fix | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fried Asparagus | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Glory (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dash Away | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divinely Bolt | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monique | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loana | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Bettina | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good as Gone | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shirley’s Bane | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firsttimeinforever | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hopkins | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piroli | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Purified | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tenth Street Don | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Omerta Code | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Krahenbuhl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Andros | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princip | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Chrome | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Cape | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castleknock | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Azteca | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classical Cat | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top of My Game | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mardukas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Righteously | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flatterwithjewels | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Riddle | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Points | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizzy Twister | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shvere Arbeter | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inthemistymoonlite | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabulous Forum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Blame It On Rose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zookeeper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrizo Springs | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Ryder | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kolomio | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Storm | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keen to Go | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | South Coast Route | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Schmear | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.