Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 23, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lionesque 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Dominant Destroyer 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Settebello 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Red Zeppelin 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Primordial Fear 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Doc Fishman 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Win the Draw 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Jack Slye 4.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 The Band Coming 8.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Theboyfromgormley 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wickedblackbullet 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Carlin Clan 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Curlin’s Ghost 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lieutenant Stan 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Uncaptured Moment 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hank Ollie 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Venti 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Runaway Charlie 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Imposter Syndrome 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Twowaycrossing 10.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Sing Dixie 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Crumlin Lad 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Ontario Damsel S.) – Ontario Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crystal Ship 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Souper Hoity Toity 0.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sister Seagull 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Love to Run 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lady Brew 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dixie Giant 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dragon’s Brew 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mr. Dazzle 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Vanbrugh 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Combative 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Downy Boy 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Decimator 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Desolator 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Tricky Magician 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Epilogue 3.50 10 19-1
10 10 Tycoon 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ninetyfour Expos 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Keen Flatter 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Puddingontheritz 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Golden Train 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sixth Anniversary 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Strokes (IRE) 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 More Gelato 20.00 4 7-1
5 5 Awesome Bourbon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Old Chestnut 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Souper Success 12.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Maakwa 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Niagara Skyline 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Forester’s Turn 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sir Seamus 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 My Silencer 5.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Embolden 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Al Heybay 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 The Great Oz 10.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Commander Joe 15.00 10 19-1
11 11 Lord of War 8.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red River Rebel 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Town Cruise 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Spite Store 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Clayton 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Nice Ace 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Told It All 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Forester’s Fortune 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Souper Dormy 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Lucky Curlin 4.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Cash Dividend 20.00 11.7 22-1
11 11 Ready for a Fight 5.00 11.7 22-1
4 4 Souper Watson 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Decorated Invader 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Like the King 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Soup and Sandwich 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Day Tripper 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Entry to Heaven 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Breaking Alone 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 A Thread of Blue 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Keep Grinding 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Henley’s Joy 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Rocket Joe Copper 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Concealed Carry 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ontario Derby) – Ontario Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Minkster 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ironstone 1.40 1.3 3-1
2 2 Mannix (IRE) 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Bringer of Rain 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Luckman 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 C C’s Kingdom 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Romantic Gamble 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Drop a Caribou 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Uncle Spider 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Executive Giant 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Big Warden 12.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Tara Tattoo 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Supremeaction 15.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Incendio 30.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 I Am Resilient 10.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Big Brown Brewskii 20.00 12.3 23-1
9 9 Dawson Silver 12.00 12.4 23-1
11 11 Cool Laoban 10.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.